Weekly Newsletter · · 6 min read

Last Week in Earth Observation: December 9, 2024

UP42's Acquisition, The Largest Tree in the Amazon and Climate Risk and Insurance Premiums

Welcome to a new edition of ‘Last Week in Earth Observation’, containing a summary of major developments in EO from the last week and some exclusive analysis and insights from TerraWatch.


Four Curated Things

Major developments in EO from the past week


💰 Contractual Stuff: Funding, Contracts and Deals

Funding

Contracts

📈 Strategic Stuff: Partnerships and Announcements

Announcements

My take: We are seeing some incredible advances in AI-based weather models, but I think it is crazy to be talking about AI-based models "rivalling" and "replacing" traditional numerical weather prediction models - however more efficient and more accurate, they will still need to be continuously trained and reinforced by physics-based models.
The more important discussion to have is: how the advancements from these AI models will be integrated into the public weather models as a public good (like ECMWF does). We need to be thinking about mechanisms and procurement models to incentivise the private sector to keep improving weather services - currently almost all AI-based weather models are merely research projects, not fully operational services.
The future is about using AI models in combination with traditional weather models with humans in the loop.

Partnerships

🗞️ Interesting Stuff: More News

Credit: NOAA

🔗 Click-Worthy Stuff: Check These Out

Credit: CTrees

One Discussion Point

Exclusive analysis and insights from TerraWatch


Saudi's New Space Group Acquires EO Platform UP42

Neo Space Group (NSG), the Saudi-based, PIF-owned space company (which recently acquired geospatial services firm Taqnia) has entered into an agreement to acquire Germany-based UP42, a fully owned subsidiary of Airbus.

In Brief: What does this mean?

For NSG, this acquisition allows them to continue becoming more and more fully vertically integrated firm, the only one of its kind in Saudi Arabia - somewhat in competition with UAE's Bayanat, now part of the Space42 group.

For UP42, this transaction, apart from the obvious financial clout, brings independence away from Airbus, both with respect to its product roadmap and potentially the capacity to provide a true independent data marketplace (being owned by Airbus might have impacted its data-agnostic nature in the past).

For Europe, this deal is quite a big blow, especially as it comes only a couple of years after US-based Planet acquired major EO platform provider Sinergise. While, it seems like Airbus, as a result of its dire financial situation, could be offloading UP42 to NSG,

The Big Picture: EO Platforms

The EO Platform segment received less than 10% of the private funding raised by EO sector in the past 7 years. Yet, this is the segment that has had the most exits in EO, even though some of these ‘exits’ are not your usual kind.

My Thesis on the Future of EO Platforms

People have asked me before: "Will there ever be a market for an independent (provider agnostic) EO platform that provides data access, data management, data processing offerings?"

I am not entirely sure platforms that start with a ‘horizontal strategy’ can be the answer to the end users interested in building EO applications. Most of the commercial EO platforms today lack any domain-specific data nor can they provide any expertise through the platforms.

The way forward is most likely to be ‘verticalized platforms' - EO platforms built for a purpose, focused on specific sectors or a set of use cases. Imagine a platform that is purely focused on the agriculture sector, and provides access to all types of data (satellite and non-satellite), tools, libraries and algorithms relevant to the agricultural use cases.

Platforms are fundamental to the growth of EO, especially if we want to unlock its iPhone moment. But unlike Apple (and Android), which laid the path forward for the development of mobile apps that led to the growth of the app economy, we have a pretty crowded ecosystem here, made even more complex with uncoordinated public funding, lack of validated demand and a pretty defence-dependent EO sector.

For a deep-dive on the state of EO platforms, check out the deep dive.


This edition of the newsletter is brought to you by Geospatial Risk Summit

The Geospatial Risk Summit is a unique two-day event focused on how professionals in finance, insurance, supply chain, healthcare, and energy industries use geospatial data to manage physical and climate-related risks.

Join industry experts and innovators in breaking down silos, exchanging insights, and advancing our understanding of geospatial solutions for managing physical and climate risks.

Don't miss your chance to join the event on January 30, 2025, in New York City! 

Technical workshops on January 29th will see top data scientists, analysts, & engineers show off risk analytics applied to real world problems.

Use the code GRS25TerraW when you register to get a 10% discount. TerraWatch Space is one of the sponsors for the Cocktail Reception.

Scene from Space

One visual leveraging EO


Climate Risk and Insurance Premiums

This visual, from the Guardian, based on a recently study, showing how climate risks are driving up insurance premiums around the US - the top counties saw home premiums increase by 22% in just three years.

Credit: Guardian / Keys et al

Until next time,

Aravind.

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