Newsletter · · 5 min read

Last Week in Earth Observation: January 20, 2024

The State of Commercial EO Satellites, Warmest Year on Record and more

Welcome to a new edition of ‘Last Week in Earth Observation’, containing a summary of major developments in EO from the last week and some exclusive analysis and insights from TerraWatch.


Four Curated Things

Major developments in EO from the past week


💰 Contractual Stuff: Funding, Contracts and Deals

Funding

Contracts

M&A

Why it matters: I have written about how strategic, value-adding use cases of EO will continue to see higher adoption in commercial sectors such as insurance and financial services. This case study is yet another example of a backward vertical integration strategy focused on geospatial, in which a market leader acquires a EO-based service provider as it sees the technology bringing a lot of value to its future growth.

📈 Commercial Stuff: New Developments

Announcements

Partnerships

Launches

🗞️ Interesting Stuff: More News

🔗 Click-Worthy Stuff: Check These Out


One Discussion Point

Exclusive analysis and insights from TerraWatch


The State of Commercial EO Satellites

A brief discussion on the future of civilian EO programmes

At TerraWatch, we track at least 72 commercial satellite constellations, not including the sovereign national programmes and other government-led initiatives. The commercial sector continues to grow with an explosion of EO companies with satellites with supposedly better specifications than publicly funded missions.

The EO sector has evolved from primarily working with prime contractors on EO satellite development through traditional cost-plus contracts to procuring data from commercial EO companies through indefinite/defined data contracts. 2024 saw contract awards (totalling over $3B) for NOAA's GeoXO weather satellites, for commercial EO companies by NASA (a $476M contract), for thermal data providers for OroraTech and constellr by the Germany space agency DLR along with the complete funding allocation confirming the Copernicus Sentinel Expansion Missions.

While the trends on one side of the Atlantic appear to be nominal (with ESA's EO budget remaining steady), the other side is waiting to see the impacts of the new administration. The last edition saw several attempts to cancel NASA's Earth Science missions (the US Congress restored their funding) as well as funding cuts for NOAA. Some in the community assume that the future of EO will be driven by commercial satellites, and that we will see a decrease in funding for public EO missions, pointing to the growth of the private sector.

But, the reality is that the two publicly funded missions Landsat and Sentinel remain the gold standard for satellite imaging. These missions represent the benchmark for EO data and is also the reason why they are a key component of the dozens of EO foundational models, currently in development today, while also contributing billions of dollar in economic value.

While commercial EO may have started providing data with more advanced specifications, there is significant work to be done before they can replace publicly funded missions. 2025 will see some evolution in the interplay between the private sector and the public sector in the US, which may affect EO policies and investments in Europe and beyond.

EO Satellite Companies (as of December 2024)

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Scene from Space

One visual leveraging EO


Warmest Year on Record

Earth’s average surface temperature in 2024 was the warmest on record, according to an analysis led by NASA scientists. The animation below shows 2024 in context with temperature anomalies since 1880. The values represent surface temperatures averaged over the entire globe for the year.

Credit: NASA

Until next time,

Aravind.

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